Who Will Win the 2021 NBA MVP Race Between Jokic and Embiid?
2025-11-04 19:11
2025-11-04 19:11
As I sit here watching Nikola Jokic orchestrate another masterclass performance for the Denver Nuggets, I can't help but reflect on what's been one of the most compelling MVP races in recent memory. The battle between Jokic and Joel Embiid has dominated basketball conversations all season, and frankly, I've never seen two big men redefine the center position quite like these two. Both players have put up historic numbers while carrying their teams through challenging circumstances, but only one can walk away with the Maurice Podoloff Trophy.
When you look at the raw statistics, both candidates present incredibly strong cases. Jokic is averaging a staggering 26.4 points, 10.8 rebounds, and 8.3 assists per game while shooting 56% from the field. His efficiency is off the charts with a Player Efficiency Rating hovering around 31.5, which would rank among the highest in NBA history. Meanwhile, Embiid has been equally dominant with 28.5 points, 10.6 rebounds, and 1.4 blocks per contest. What impresses me most about Embiid is how he's transformed his game this season - his mid-range shooting has become virtually automatic, and he's drawing fouls at an unprecedented rate for a big man.
The injury factor has been particularly fascinating to observe throughout this race. Embiid missed 10 games due to various ailments, while Jokic has been remarkably durable, missing only one game all season. This reminds me of Bates' recent comments about rushing back from a hamstring strain too early. "I wasn't really probably listening to my body as much as I should have," Bates admitted, and I think this speaks to the delicate balance elite athletes must maintain between pushing through discomfort and protecting their long-term health. Embiid's injury history has always been the biggest question mark surrounding his MVP candidacy, and unfortunately, it's reared its head again this season.
What really separates Jokic in my view is his unprecedented playmaking ability for a center. I've never seen a big man who can read defenses and distribute the ball like he does. His court vision is simply extraordinary - he's essentially functioning as Denver's primary point guard while still putting up elite scoring and rebounding numbers. The Nuggets have been absolutely devastated by injuries to Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr., yet Jokic has single-handedly kept them in the playoff picture. Without him, I genuinely believe Denver would be competing for lottery position rather than playoff seeding.
Embiid's case rests heavily on his two-way dominance and the Sixers' superior record. Philadelphia sits comfortably in the Eastern Conference's top three, while Denver has struggled to maintain consistency in the brutal Western Conference. Embiid's defensive impact is arguably greater than Jokic's, and he's been absolutely unstoppable in clutch situations. I've watched him take over fourth quarters in ways that remind me of prime Hakeem Olajuwon. Still, the 10-game absence looms large in my evaluation, especially when compared to Jokic's ironman availability.
The advanced metrics overwhelmingly favor Jokic, which aligns with what my eyes tell me when I watch these two play. Jokic leads the league in several all-in-one metrics including VORP and Box Plus-Minus, suggesting his overall impact might be slightly greater than Embiid's. Both players have carried massive offensive loads for their respective teams, but Jokic's creation for others gives him that extra dimension that I find impossible to ignore.
Ultimately, I believe Jokic's historic statistical profile, unparalleled playmaking, and remarkable durability will earn him the MVP nod. While Embiid has been spectacular and would be a deserving winner in most seasons, Jokic is having one of those special years that transcends normal MVP conversations. His combination of production, efficiency, and availability - especially in the context of Denver's injury woes - creates a narrative that's too powerful to overlook. The Serbian big man has redefined what's possible for a center in today's NBA, and I'm confident voters will reward him for this extraordinary campaign.